While Q3’s summertime market slowed a bit from the frenetic spring pace of Q2 (we call this the “Summer Slump”), median home values are up across the region compared to this time last year. Most homes still sold at or above their listed prices in the first 10 days on market. However, buyers had more choice with higher inventory levels AND some room to negotiate on price for those homes that stayed on the market past the 10-day mark.

What does this mean for the rest of 2024? We typically see buyer activity decrease as we head into the holidays, and of course, it’s also election season. If you’ve been considering a purchase and are of the mindset that you don’t want to compete, THIS IS YOUR MARKET! For sellers the average days on market in Q3 was 20 for Seattle and 18 for the Eastside. Which means: if your price didn’t attract a buyer in the first two weeks, it’s probably time to re-evaluate. Interest rates are better than they’ve been since mid 2022. Quality inventory is being presented to the market. If you see a great house, be prepared to move quickly. Opportunity Knocks.

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Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

Lots of good news in Seattle during our post-summer glow. Prices are up year over year by 5% to $937,000. While we’re still under the peak median of $1,000,000 set in Q2 of 2022 and $970,000 from last quarter, this is so typical for Q3. We’ve seen it every year from Q2 to Q3 going back to 2018 (except in 2020 largely because the real estate market shut down completely in Q2). Buyers had lots of choice, with more inventory to end the quarter than we’ve had since Q3 of 2022. Even with these buyer bright spots we still saw 56% of homes sell in the first 10 days and 34% over the asking price.

Average price per square foot and median price were in positive territory across the board this quarter in all neighborhoods. Richmond Beach/Shoreline and Madison Park/Capitol Hill both saw larger than typical gains in $/sq.ft. (11%) and median price (10%) respectively. North Seattle appeared to be the “hottest” market around with 64% of homes selling in the first 10 days. Again, really great numbers in Seattle given that Summer Slump was in full effect.

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside continues to be the region’s crown jewel of real estate. Median prices are up again year over year by 8%. Most of us felt what we lovingly call the Summer Slump, and the numbers confirmed this. Prices (median) AND transactions were down 6% overall when compared against Q2 of 2024. That’s a $100,000 dip in median sales price if you missed the spring market. This is absolutely typical for the PNW and Metro King County. Seasonally our peak seasons are spring and post Labor Day/pre-holiday. This year that may be disrupted by election distractions. Time will tell if it’s a market lacking in consumer confidence or simply existential distraction.

The micro markets across the Eastside are fairly homogeneous. Among the 8 neighborhoods that we track, the median price swing was 3-11% but all in a positive direction. Total transaction volume is up 18% signaling that eventually life changes will trump a 2.5% interest rate. While homes were mostly selling in the first 10 days, multiple offers/paying over asking price were not the norm. In fact, the split between at, above, and below was relatively even.

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MERCER ISLAND

Fall has come for Mercer Island. The summer construction on Island Crest is done, school buses are out en force, and those filtered views that only come out in winter are starting to show. It’s time to look back fondly at the summer real estate market: prices are up YOY by 3% to $2,440,000 to end the quarter. This is likely more about trailing gains from a robust spring than it is about actual gains from Q3, given the indicators. A whopping 40% of homes sold under list price. It took 40% longer than 10 days to sell (not necessarily the same 40%) but only for about a 2% discount. This suggests that seller pricing and buyer motivation are evenly matched. There were 50 active listings at end of quarter, the most since Q2 of 2020 when real estate shut down completely.

Focusing on neighborhoods, The Lakes, Mercerwood, Mercerdale, and Mercer Island Estates saw 100% of homes sell in the first 10 days for an average of 102% of sales price. This goes to show that in any market, despite overall conditions, there will always be “hot homes.” Mid-Island had the most overall activity with 22 of the 68 sales across the Island. These occurred at $865/foot and 16 of the 22 homes sold in the first 10 days for at or above list price.

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

Once again, we’re rooting for the Seattle condo market as it proves to be the little engine that could! Chugging along toward modest price gains even when the rest of the market seems to be struggling a bit, Seattle condo prices have held steady for the last 6 quarters, with mostly positive change. Eastside condos hit a median price all-time high in Q2 at $709,000. We’re off of that a touch to $690,000 in Q3, to be expected after a beautiful summer. The Eastside ended the quarter with 29% more listings than this time last year and only 13% more sales. Mounting inventory tends to lead to price softening. Overall, nearly 50% of condos sold for at or above their list price!

When you compare the charts in the report, there is admittedly more positive news on the Eastside than in Seattle. Overall, we’re encouraged that despite many neighborhoods experiencing a drop in sales, average price per sq. ft. held flat and median price is up overall. On the Eastside it’s still great news all around for the market, especially in West Bellevue with 26% median sales price gains and total sales up 55%.

Friendly PSA: PLEASE remember that there is a ‘first rung’ of the property ladder. CONDOS create an affordable option to start building wealth at a younger age. It’s an important real estate product that has been overlooked. I am hopeful that enterprising young homeowners return to the condo market in droves this next real estate cycle.

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

While a bit slower compared to last quarter, waterfront sales remained strong in Q3 with 10 on the Eastside and 8 in Seattle. Lake Sammamish moderated in summer with just 5 sales compared to the crazy 15 we saw in spring, while Mercer Island stayed fairly steady with 4 (compared to 6 in spring). The highest sale was nearly $18 million for an immense Wendell Lovett designed 6,920 sq. ft. home on 125 feet of prime “gold coast” waterfront in Medina. The most modest sale was also on the Eastside—an original 1943 cottage on 53 feet of west-facing waterfront in Kennydale.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

© Copyright 2024, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Kathryn Buchanan and Brandon Larson, Clarity Northwest Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of The Sirianni Group and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Julie Wilson and Bobby Erdt, Clarity Northwest Photography. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Anni Zilz and Andrew Webb, Clarity Northwest Photography.

Median sales prices were up across the region in Q2 of 2024 compared to this time last year, with the Eastside posting the highest year-over-year appreciation. What should you know that the numbers don’t show? We’re back to a typical PNW seasonal market. Higher temps typically lead buyers to lose focus. There is still quality inventory hitting the market. If you don’t need to sell in order to buy, this summer is the perfect opportunity for you. There are some great deals out there, and this fall election season will be in full swing which will surely have an impact on all markets.

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Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

The median home price in Seattle is up 8% year over year to $970,000! We are just 3% shy of the peak median price of $1,000,000 set in Q2 of 2022. With steady growth over the last couple of quarters one might assume that we’ll hit peak prices again shortly. This gain isn’t because of low inventory (up 18%) or a rapid growth in demand (sales are down 4%), it’s likely chalked up to interest rates under 7% AND buyers got tired of sitting on the sidelines. In all cases, the first half of this year has been a breath of fresh air.

Lake Forest Park saw the biggest drop in total number of sales at 34% BUT they also saw the highest jump in median price: up 19% to $1,015,000. Their neighbors to the West, Richmond Beach and Shoreline, saw the largest rise in sales with a 19% gain in total volume AND the only area to post a drop in median price. Down 1%. Madison Park/Capitol Hill is the only other area of the city to post double digit gains. All in all a robust spring quarter.

76% of homes sold for at or above list price and 71% of homes sold in the first 10 days on the market for an average of 105% of the list price. This tells us, if you find “The One,” don’t sleep on it, and be prepared to pay. Especially in the $800,000 to $1,500,000 price band.

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EASTSIDE

Everything’s coming up roses this spring on the Eastside. Home values have soared 16% year-over-year, with the median sale price reaching $1,675,000. This reflects a 4% gain from the peak in 2022. (Not all metro King County areas have reached peak prices again.) This impressive growth reflects a thriving market, with an average home selling for $700 per square foot, up 14% from last year. What’s even more fun? A whopping 78% of homes sold within the first 10 days of listing, showing just how bullish buyers are on the market.

Neighborhoods across the Eastside are shining. Eastside South saw 251 homes sold, marking a 37% increase, with a median sale price of $1,799,000, up 20%. Meanwhile, West Bellevue’s median sale price jumped to $3,574,000, up 13%. Mercer Island continues to charm buyers, with homes selling for an average of $906 per square foot and a median price increase of 18%, reaching $2,585,000.

Overall, the Eastside market is buzzing with activity. With 1,773 homes sold (a 17% rise YoY), it’s clear that both buyers and sellers are seizing opportunities. The increase in new listings by 29% compared to last year adds to the market’s appeal. East Bellevue and Redmond also show significant growth, with median sale prices climbing by 7% and 27%, respectively. The Eastside has staying power post Covid, clearly.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Home prices have seen a remarkable year-over-year increase of 18%, with the median sale price reaching $2,585,000. While this is a great sign for the health of the market, we’re still 5% below the 2022 peak. Affordability seems to be what is driving the market forward. Interest rates are down YoY. In relation to Q1 2024, prices are up a modest 2.5% which feels to us like: healthy sustainable growth.

Q2 2024 saw only a 3% rise in new listings compared to the same quarter last year, while there were 3 fewer homes sold in 2024 vs. 2023. Inventory and absorption remains relatively flat year over year. So it might be surprising that there is a robust demand for Mercer Island properties, with 66% of homes sold within the first 10 days of listing and that 18% rise in median price. Lower asking prices coupled with slight interest rate relief seem to be the explanation.

Taking a peek at the neighborhood snapshot reveals varying performance across different Mercer Island areas, yet the overall trend remains positive. For instance, the Northend saw 15 homes sold at an average of $810 per square foot, with 73% of these sales occurring at or above the listing price, and 60% sold within the first 10 days. On the higher end, East Seattle and The Lakes neighborhoods showcased exceptional performance, with all homes sold at or above the listing price and achieving 100% sales within the first 10 days. Overall, the average price per square foot for the island increased year-over-year, reaching $906.

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

It’s good news only in the condo market! Seattle condos saw modest yet positive growth, with the median sale price rising 5% year-over-year to $636,000. The average price per square foot climbed to $649, a 7% increase, showing strong market demand. Condos in Ballard and Green Lake led the charge with a 31% increase in sales volume, while Downtown-Belltown, despite a 14% drop in sales, saw prices rise by 10%. Demand seems to be all over the board, but we’re still reporting the highest median sales price ever for Seattle condos!

On the Eastside, the market was buzzing with activity, in large part due to inventory being double what it was in Q2 of 2023. Redmond condos were the stars, with sales skyrocketing by 65% and the median sale price jumping 45% to $850,000. West Bellevue followed suit with a 38% increase in sales and a 33% hike in price per square foot, reaching $1,064. The overall Eastside market saw a 22% rise in sales and a 13% increase in the average price per square foot, now at $660.

It’s important to note that 62% of all condos selling at or above their list price across Seattle and the Eastside, showing a competitive market where buyers are eager to snap up properties quickly. With more new listings than last year there are plenty of opportunities for buyers and sellers alike. Whether you’re eyeing a trendy spot in Ballard or a luxurious condo in West Bellevue, the upbeat condo market promises exciting possibilities for everyone!

Friendly PSA: PLEASE remember that there is a ‘first rung’ of the property ladder. CONDOS create an affordable option to start building wealth at a younger age. It’s an important real estate product that has been overlooked. I am hopeful that enterprising young homeowners return to the condo market in droves this next real estate cycle.

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Lake Sammamish led the pack in Q2 with a whopping 15 waterfront sales, while the Eastside was close behind with 12. Of Seattle’s 9 waterfront sales, all but 2 sold in less than 10 days. It was a similar story with Mercer Island’s 6 sales—all but 1 sold in less than 10 days and 4 sold above the asking price. Meydenbauer took the crown for largest waterfront sale, fetching $21.3 million for a truly stunning 1-acre estate with 164 feet of waterfront and a palatial 11,000+ sq. ft. home. The most modest waterfront sale was a Rainier Beach gem on 50 feet of waterfront that sold in just 8 days for $1,725,000.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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Main photo courtesy of Wing Walker Aerial Photography

We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

© Copyright 2024, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Codi Nelson and HD Estates Photography. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Donovan Realty Group and Tucker English Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Yvonne Willard and Ryan Slimak, Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Luke Bartlett and Matthew Gallant, Clarity Northwest Photography. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Kathryn Buchanan and Brandon Larson, Clarity Northwest Photography.

The Seattle/Eastside real estate market is hot and the Q1 stats support the claim; most homes sold in the first 10 days and either at or above their listed prices. Eastside median sales prices saw double-digit gains of 14% compared to this time last year, while Seattle was close behind with a 9% price bump. We saw more new listings this year than in Q1 of 2023; however, this was not enough to tip the scales and we remain staunchly in a seller’s market for the foreseeable future. The good news for buyers is that interest rates have stabilized and more sellers are jumping off the fence to list their homes. Competition for prime properties will remain high, however, so buyers should be prepared to take a leap of their own when the right home presents itself.

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

It’s safe to say the spring market hit early in Seattle! We’ve seen a 9% rise in median home price and 69% of listings selling at or above list price, all while interest rates are in the mid 6s. We are bullish on the year to come. Overall sales are down 3% YoY, which is slightly troubling because Q1 2023 saw a 28% dip from the previous year. If you dig a little deeper it seems that the north end (Kenmore and Lake Forest Park) saw a 42% reduction in overall sales with a 30% increase in median price.

Prices are up across the board. The largest jumps in median price are in Lake Forest Park and North Seattle (30% and 23% respectively), while the highest $/sq.ft. jumps were in Madison Park and South Seattle. 56% of all homes on the west side sold in the first 10 days and for an average of 105% of list price. This is a great indicator that the market will continue to be strong in Q2.

The total number of new listings remains relatively low in the city, when compared with years past. This is to be expected as current homeowners stay put to enjoy their cozy sub-3% interest rates. We hope that equity will begin burning holes in their pockets soon—the market could use the inventory. If you’ve been thinking about buying, this could be your year! Get pre-approved and be ready to jump when you see the right home come available.

If you’ve thought about selling your home, it may be a good year to do so. As is typical in the early stages of appreciating cycles, buyers are brought off the fence by “the house” popping up—and they’re paying premiums for cream puff properties. Interest rates have stabilized and experts say they may become even more favorable as the year progresses. Check with your agent about your own unique situation.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The numbers are in and the statistics reflect what agents and consumers have felt thus far in 2024—the market is hot. Median home prices on the greater Eastside are up 14%. 65% of all listed homes sold in the first ten days for an average of 105% of list price. The communities that have posted the largest gains are Kirkland and the area South of I-90 (32% and 21%). Redmond and West Bellevue reported much more conservative median price increases at 4%. The total number of pending homes was up 18% YoY, which bodes well for continued price gains.

If you’re in the market to purchase a home on the Eastside we are hopeful for more inventory this year. Even though rates are still nowhere near their all-time lows, which was the anecdotal explanation for lack of inventory in 2023, it seems that a Q1 sales boom is enough to help potential home sellers feel bullish on 2024. This means you can also expect competition for the prime properties. Our best home buying advice: do your research, act with confidence, and remember real estate is a long-term investment.

If you’re a homeowner thinking about a home sale in 2024, Q2 could be the perfect time. Shoppers are out in droves and they’re prepared to pay top dollar for quality product. The steep jump in median home price should continue at least into Q2. The only threat in Q3 and Q4 is what could shape up to be a distracting election cycle. Though, the election year is likely what is keeping downward pressure on rates. Our best home selling advice: follow your agents’ guidance on timing as it’s sure to be a volatile year. Prep hard and price conservatively. It will all work out in your favor.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

What a difference a year makes! In Q1, Mercer Island’s median sale price is already up 13% over a relatively flat year in 2023, rising from around $2,200,000 to $2,520,000. We’re seeing shorter market times and multiple offers; spring has sprung on the Island. With 59 new listings and 37 closed sales inventory appears to be tracking with what we’ve seen in Q1 in years past. That said, condos continue to lag behind single family: only 6 closed sales all quarter. The average price per square foot is $535—about where it’s been tracking since it jumped from $485 in Q1 of 2021. Not a lot of shocking change here.

If you’re in the market to purchase a home on Mercer Island you can expect better inventory this year than last year. Even though rates are still nowhere near their all-time lows, which was the anecdotal explanation for low inventory in 2023, it seems that a Q1 sales boom is enough to help potential home sellers feel bullish on 2024. This means you can also expect competition for the prime properties. Our advice: do your research, act with confidence, and remember real estate is a long-term investment.

If you’ve been thinking about selling your home to upgrade or downsize, Q2 could be the perfect time. Shoppers are out in droves and they’re prepared to pay top dollar for quality product. The steep jump in median home price should continue at least into Q2. The only threat in Q3 and Q4 is what could shape up to be a distracting election cycle. That being said, the election year is likely what is keeping downward pressure on rates. Our advice: follow your agents’ guidance on timing as the situation develops this year. Prep hard and price conservatively. It will all work out in your favor.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

It seems a healthy start to 2024 in the condo market. While the Q1 of 2023 numbers were down across the board, Q1 of 2024 is looking up with a combined rise in price of 15% and 34% more fresh new listings (YoY).

On the Eastside there were 202 active listings available at the end of the quarter, while 501 homes accepted offers during the quarter. This was the highest number of pendings in one quarter in the last two years! To real estate professionals, “pendings” are the canary in the coal mine of the market. A spike in pendings is a predictor that the market is heating up.

In Seattle new listings doubled from Q4 2023 (534) to Q1 2024 (1019), while pendings and solds are up 20% YoY. If you’re shopping for a condo, keep an eye out for enticing new inventory in Q2. 42% of Seattle condos sold in the first 10 days and for 100% of the list price. 44% of condos took more than 30 days to sell, though they still commanded 97% of their list price. To me this means that pricing is more important than ever in determining your outcome.

Now it’s time for me to stand on the home ownership soap box. There seem to be a lot of headlines about the unaffordability of single family homes. While there is no denying how expensive it is, there is a missing piece to the story: at some point during the prolonged period of “cheap money” first time buyers forgot about the first rung of the property ladder. CONDOS create an affordable option to start building wealth at a younger age. It’s an important real estate product that has been overlooked. We are hopeful that enterprising young homeowners return to the condo market in droves this next real estate cycle.

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Seattle and the Eastside each had 6 waterfront sales in the first quarter, with 4 out of the 6 sales for both areas closing at or above the listing price (including one unlisted sale). All of the Eastside’s listed sales were on the market for only 8 days or less. Lake Sammamish was close behind with 5 sales (however 4 out 5 sales went below the asking price) and Mercer Island lagged behind with just 1 sale. Medina boasted the largest waterfront sale, a newer home on 117 feet of lakefront with a mind-blowing 13,590 interior square feet and 1.5 acres of grounds. The most modest sale was for a Lake Forest Park home on just 40 feet of waterfront—it sold almost immediately for 7% above its asking price.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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We earn the trust and loyalty of our brokers and clients by doing real estate exceptionally well. The leader in our market, we deliver client-focused service in an authentic, collaborative, and transparent manner and with the unmatched knowledge and expertise that comes from decades of experience.

2737 77^th Ave SE, Mercer Island, WA 98040 | (206) 232-0446
mercerisland@windermere.com

© Copyright 2024, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Brooke Davis and Emerald City Snap. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Clarity Northwest Photography. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Nancy LaVallee and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Michael Fleming and Clarity Northwest Photography.

 

While median sales prices varied quite a bit from area to area, they stayed relatively stable with most communities posting either modest gains or slight declines compared to this time last year.  Low inventory is keeping us in what you might call a “flat” seller’s market…supply is low but prices aren’t appreciating as fast as we would normally see.  That being said, if rates float down—and experts believe they will—we could see another frenzy of bidding wars as buyers compete for the few homes on the market.  If you’re considering purchasing a home (even if you need to sell yours first), our advice is to get out there and start shopping while you can pick and choose at relatively reasonable prices…

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Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

The Seattle residential market showed resilience in Q3 of 2023. While the $894,000 median sales price was down 3% from last year, 60% of sellers fetched sales at or above their list price and 58% sold within the first 10 days. The city saw 2,321 new listings, a 23% reduction from the previous year. This is healthy, for now, with decreased demand due to rising interest rates. When rate pricing eases—and it will according to experts—the lower inventory will be sure to send prices through the roof. NOW IS THE TIME!

Diving deeper into communities, Queen Anne, with its blend of historic charm and modernity, saw a 1% rise in median sales prices to $1,349,000. Kenmore and Lake Forest Park have also held their own—60% of homes sold within the first ten days and both median sales prices and cost-per-square-foot went up 2% over last year. North Seattle remains a strong contender in the market, with 68% of homes selling at or above the list price. West Seattle, with its coastal vibe, saw a remarkable 72% of homes sell at or above the listing price.

The data underscores Seattle’s diverse and dynamic housing landscape, where different communities cater to varied tastes, yet all show promise and potential. Overall, Seattle’s housing market is marching on, optimistically steady, backed by strong analytical data and historically low unemployment.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside showed steady growth in Q3. With a notable 5% year-over-year rise in home values, the median sales price landed at a respectable $1,460,000. Interestingly, cost per square foot ($625) showed virtually no YOY change. Sellers saw a close alignment with their expectations, as the average list price to sale price for all properties stood at 99%. Furthermore, 58% of homes sold at or above their listing price, a testament to the region’s enduring demand.

Diving deeper, most communities remained fairly stable with modest year-over-year increases. Redmond, Mercer Island and Newcastle/North Renton saw slight declines. The star of the Eastside was West Bellevue, posting 23% more sales than Q3 of last year, a median sales price hike of 14%, and the highest cost-per-square-foot in the region (even after a 14% drop from last year). While overall sales were down about 13% across the region, this was counterbalanced by a 20% drop in new listings keeping the Eastside in a flat seller’s market for the foreseeable future.

Our conclusion? The Eastside’s market remains robust and versatile. Buyers and sellers both need to be savvy, understanding both their micro-markets and the broader trends. For sellers, strategic pricing and presentation remain king! Our advice to buyers: don’t sleep on this market, it will turn fast when interest rates float downward and inventory will not be able to keep up with demand.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

While Mercer Island’s Q3 median sales price of $2,368,000 was still down slightly compared to Q3 of last year, prices have been trending upward since the beginning of the year. Furthermore, the average price-per-square-foot in Q3 was actually up 6% over last year. More than half of homes sold at or above their list prices (53%) and in 10 days or less (57%)—this is right on par with what we saw in Q3 of 2022. Buyers found room to negotiate on the remaining listings and were able to add contingencies for things like inspections and financing.

We saw a boost in sales compared to last year’s initial interest rate shock, despite a lower number of new listings. This has kept the Island in a flat seller’s market much like we saw in 2018. That being said, Mercer Island homes are taking longer to sell than we saw last year—the average total number of days properties spent on the market before receiving an offer went from 18 days in Q3 2022 to 30 days by Q3 2023. Buyers, perhaps more hesitant due to higher interest rates, are being careful to pick and choose before leaping into a contract.

Overall, the Mercer Island real estate market has remained fairly steady with some signs of growth. While median prices are still down from their spike during the post-COVID frenzy, we should start seeing year-over-year gains if this year’s upward trend continues. For prospective buyers, the landscape offers an opportunity to negotiate favorable deals on those properties that don’t sell right away. For sellers, astute pricing and marketing strategies will continue to win the day.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

The PNW condo market showed steady growth in Q3 of 2023, with year-over-year median sales prices up by 6% in both Seattle and The Eastside. Overall activity was subdued, however, with a drop in the number of new condo listings corresponding with fewer sales.

When dissecting Seattle’s condo statistics, Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore saw the biggest price gains with a whopping 39% rise in median sales price compared to last year. Ballard and Green Lake also saw big gains with median sales price up 25%. Conversely, Shoreline experienced a stark 59% drop in sales and 40% drop in median sales prices, indicating possible shifts in buyer preferences toward the more convenient city center. While Downtown condo sales prices were also down slightly, their shimmering skylines still fetched a premium at $825 per square foot.

The Eastside condo market varied from area to area. Kirkland’s condo sales surged by 18%, with an impressive 43% increase in median sale price. Redmond also shone brightly with a 45% spike in median sale prices. Mercer Island stood out, with its 43% increase in the number of sales and 31% rise in median sale price showcasing its luxury market segment. Conversely, West Bellevue, East Bellevue, and East Lake Sammamish all posted lower year-over-year median sales prices—down -20%, -%12% and -7% respectively.

The juxtaposition of these two markets, and really the neighborhood specific swings within them, highlights the unique characteristics and demands of each, underscoring the need for prospective buyers and sellers to strategize based on specific community data. All the more reason to consult a condo pro!

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Seattle once again commanded the highest number of private waterfront sales with 9 total—4 of these sold in 4 days or less, including 2 hot Beach Drive listings in West Seattle that sold above their asking prices.  Lake Sammamish was close behind with 8 sales including one that sold immediately (and marked the most affordable waterfront sale at $1.62 million). Mercer Island boasted the highest waterfront sale of the quarter, a stunning North End estate on 120 feet of waterfront that went for $24.4 million. The Eastside held its own with 6 sales and the second highest sale of the quarter—$12 million—for a half-acre Yarrow Point estate on 105 feet of prime west-facing waterfront.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

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© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Seattle cover photo courtesy of Codi Nelson and HD Estates. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Jessica Livingston and im3rd Media. Waterfront cover photo courtesy of Anni Zilz and Clarity Northwest Photography.

 

While median sales prices rose in Q2 compared to Q1, they were still down about 10% from last summer’s peak. Most areas saw fewer new listings and sales this year than we saw last year. Supply levels are still low enough to keep us technically in a seller’s market — our Windermere Chief Economist, Matthew Gardner, predicted this will continue, saying, “with relatively few homes on the market and the share of homes with price reductions dropping and list prices rising again, I just can’t see a buyer’s market appearing this year.”

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

The Seattle market felt a similar adjustment as the Eastside with home prices down about 10% across the board. This spring market had a 27% drop in supply which limited the overall sales. The median closed sales price of $900,000 is up from May’s $830,000, but down 10% year over year offering some relief to buyers feeling the squeeze of high interest rates.

Last quarter, we mentioned keeping an eye on North Seattle and the growth we’ve seen in Shoreline, Lake Forest Park and Kenmore likely due to transit and those seeking affordability. Interestingly, 80% of the Lake Forest Park and Kenmore homes sold at or above their list price (in comparison to Queen Anne at 62%, for example) with prices rising 14% since last quarter but down 19% year over year.

Q2 closed with 879 active residential homes on the market, but no real sense of urgency from buyers (although the average days on market was 20 compared to the Eastside’s 23 days). The presentation of a home coupled with a smart pricing strategy equates to a positive outcome for sellers — we can see this in the 42% of homes that experienced multiple offers with an average boost of 6% over list price. With that said, 26% of Seattle contracts experienced a price negotiation between parties, so if you’re a motivated buyer and write an offer, you could benefit from more traditional contract terms.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside residential market adjusted significantly this quarter. With a median price of $1,450,000 across all neighborhoods, this is an adjustment of 10% compared to last year. West Bellevue real estate, a luxury market, took the largest adjustment of 16%, down to an average of $996 per square foot. Market times were also slightly longer with 66% of homes selling within the first 10 days; the other 34% of homes had to be more patient in finding their buyer. This means that it took an average of 23 days for a seller to sell their property compared to 7 days at this time last year. However, this is much improved from 52 days in Q1!

Just like Redmond’s condos, its single family residential supply numbers were down 43%—but offered more supply than this time last year. Overall, there were 40% fewer listings than in Q2 of last year. With just 645 active homes available at the end of this quarter and rates closing out ~6.75%, low supply and high interest rates have kept sales stagnant. This time last year, there were 1,105 homes available for sale and rates had just moved across the 5% level.

It’s very true that sales are still happening and price and presentation from the seller matter most. On the Eastside, 39% of homes sold above their list price at an average of 5% over. Many buyers have adjusted their budget with the higher rates and seem motivated to get into the market now when the right home is found. If you can afford the payment, take the leap as a buyer. Sellers are motivated to accept more traditional terms, and you may not be competing amongst others.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Much like other Eastside neighborhoods, Mercer Island made a significant adjustment in price—but one area of difference is that supply has remained steady. The south end offered the largest number of sold homes with 20, followed by 16 sold homes mid-island and 12 sold homes on the north end. Mid-island pricing continues to be smack in the middle with an average median sales price of $2,249,000; 75% of mid-island homes sold at or above their listing price, evidence that the desirability of being tucked away from freeway and amenities while still accessible to all is very appealing. Overall, island pricing has adjusted by 19% year over year to a median of $2.2 million compared to $2.7 million this same time last year.

There are currently 36 active homes on the market at the end of this quarter, which is identical to our supply level Q2 last year! This is up slightly from 39 active homes at the end of last quarter. The island is also feeling the pause in demand and urgency and that’s evident in the days on market numbers. Average days on market was 31 this quarter; it only took 7 days to sell your home this time last year. The inventory of homes for sale continues to be unique and striking, and a great pricing strategy equates to both happy seller and happy buyer.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

For first time homebuyers, condos are still a fantastic starter purchase, whether you want to invest, live in the city or in a more suburban environment. We didn’t experience the same urgency with condo buyers this Spring likely because of interest rates, the fear of tech layoffs, or the transition from remote work to office work.

Year over year, neighborhoods like West Seattle, North Seattle, Queen Anne and Ballard saw strong price gains while South Seattle and Capitol Hill took a 20% median price adjustment. While it’s tough to find a direct correlation for neighborhoods tracking significantly different than others, the price gains are likely due to supply issues in these popular neighborhoods. On the flip side, price adjustments could be a sign that sellers had higher expectations of price before correcting to a normal level with a reduction or negotiation. There were 565 units available at the close of the quarter, down from 605 active units at the close of Q2 last year. Sellers are likely staying put for now, or they are investors with a low interest rate mortgage. Lake Forest Park and Shoreline condos triumphed over others with 81 percent of the 16 total condos selling at or above their list price; 70% of these units sold within the first week.

On the eastside, East Bellevue and East of Lake Sammamish had rising median prices with an average increase of 6% year over year, while other eastside neighborhoods adjusted downward. Redmond condo supply was down 41 percent! Again, this number reflects sellers staying put and with current interest rates hovering around 6.5% today, there may not be a suitable option for them to consider “trading up” to a larger unit or a single family home. With lack of supply and high rates, total sales are stagnant.

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

Most of the waterfront sales this quarter happened in Seattle with 14 sold homes compared to 6 sold homes last quarter. Just two Mercer Island waterfront properties, located on the north end, sold this quarter (the same number of sales as last quarter!)—one with significant competition, selling $750,000 above its listing price in just four days. While there were just seven Eastside sales (also the same number of sold homes as Q1 this year), four of those homes sold in five days or less including a $14m waterfront property on Hunts Point.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

↑ Back to top

© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Cynthia Schoonmaker and Clarity Northwest Photography. Eastside cover photo courtesy of Joe Liu and Clarity Northwest Photography. Condo cover photo courtesy of Team RAREnorthwest and Elevato Photography.

The first quarter of 2023 saw a price correction compared to last year’s spike, with year-over-year median prices down by 9% in Seattle and 14% on the Eastside.  That being said, prices are already beginning to climb again with steady growth since the beginning of the year.  Buyer demand remains strong despite higher interest rates—competitively priced, well-presented homes are still fetching multiple offers.

Click or scroll down to find your area report:

Seattle  |  Eastside  |  Mercer Island  |  Condos  |  Waterfront

SEATTLE

For those who purchased a home in Seattle this quarter, it likely felt like there were more options and inventory with a minor rebalance on price. While transactions were down 28% year over year, we also saw median sales price was down from $925,000 to $830,000 since last quarter, which is a 9% adjustment. A down correction in pricing gave relief to buyers feeling the pinch and stress of rising interest rates to 6.5%. Rates have doubled the past 1.5 years but, considering the limited supply of homes for sale, the drop in home prices hasn’t been severe.

Neighborhoods like Lake Forest Park saw growth in their number of transactions (up 15%); other neighborhoods like Madison Park and Capitol Hill had nearly half the homes for sale compared to last year. It’s no surprise that as interest rates rise and affordability changes, buyers are casting a wider net to other parts of Seattle to the north. Keep an eye on neighborhoods like Shoreline, Kenmore and Lake Forest Park. Desirable prices paired with accessible transit is a bonus for those who are being asked to return to the office.

Multiple offers are apparent in some neighborhoods (price & presentation is key!) and we did experience 30% of homes sell above their listing price. If the shortage of inventory remains and interest rates drop slightly, we could see the frequency of multiple offers increase.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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EASTSIDE

The Eastside was struck by job layoffs in the tech sector, rising interest rates and new property listings (28% more homes than last quarter!) but pending sales remained low compared to the previous year. Transaction volume was much like Seattle’s, with a decline of 22%. Mercer Island was the only community that stayed steady (no increase) in the number of transactions year over year.

Interestingly, while prices are down to a median of $1,400,000 year over year, this is a slight 2% increase from last quarter’s median of $1,380,000. 20% of the properties on the Eastside also sold above their listing price (most of these homes were in Bellevue) while sellers needed a shift in expectations with a whopping 58% of homes needing a price improvement to find their buyer. The list price vs. sold price percentage was 97% which means if you were a seller who listed your home at $1,000,000, you would expect to sell for $970,000 this quarter. Again, price and presentation matter and 41% of sellers who did this well sold in the first 10 days.

Buyers who are shopping for homes on the Eastside continue to be hyper focused on the school districts, turn-key properties and are serious about locking in their interest rate now, with the hopes of refinancing later this year when economists predict rates could decrease. If rates drop below 5.5% coupled with low inventory levels, we could see the frequency of multiple offers increase.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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MERCER ISLAND

Even though there were just 39 residential transactions on Mercer Island this quarter, that number has stayed perfectly steady year over year. Over half of these homes sold in the first 10 days on the market, which is no surprise as demand has stayed robust.

13% of listings sold above their listing price, but this wasn’t concentrated on a certain community; four homes located on First Hill, Mid-Island plus the South & North Ends respectively, each received multiple offers this quarter. Q1 of 2022 saw a median price of $2,540,000 with just one home listed under $1,500,000. This quarter, the median price is $2,233,000 (a 12% decline) while six homes sold under $1,500,000! Due to the decline in prices and a slower start to the year, many sellers needed a shift in expectations with a whopping 67% of homes needing a price improvement to find their buyer.

We haven’t seen the number of new listings in the double-digit figures since Q2 of 2022, and it’s very possible we won’t experience that same level of inventory this year. Baby boomers are holding onto their homes with the benefit of their remarkably low 2.75% interest rate, and families are staying put to finish out the school year.

Our advice still stands: if you’re thinking about waiting for lower rates AND lower prices, you might be dreaming. Enjoy the fantastic Island inventory now, lock in your rate and consider refinancing later this year or next spring when economists predict rates will shift down.

Click here for the full report and neighborhood-by-neighborhood statistics!

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CONDOS – SEATTLE & EASTSIDE

Seeing first time homebuyers come back to the market or considering an investment? Buying a condo in Seattle or on the Eastside is a fantastic opportunity, especially as many companies are calling their employees back to the office at least 3 days per week. It’s very possible transaction volume will be up next quarter, but for now, transactions were down 44% year over year. With that said, 465 units sold in Seattle; 347 units sold on the Eastside which isn’t all doom and gloom.

Just like North Seattle is heating up with residential sales, Lake Forest Park, Shoreline, Ballard and North Seattle condos outpace the rest of Seattle, up 10% on average. These areas are experiencing new construction townhomes that are especially desirable to first time homebuyers. Boutique builders are offering a trendy design palette (have you seen the Scandinavian-style design with light woods and sleek finishes?) paired with all the “bells and whistles” that city dwellers appreciate, like dog washing stations, artificial turf, and EV chargers.

For the Eastside, Redmond condos stayed the steadiest, down just 17% year or year. Kirkland was the only neighborhood to experience a price bump, up 11% to a median price of $693,000.

The Seattle condo median price has declined just 1% year over year to $515,000, while the Eastside experienced a 12% adjustment to $550,000. This is a $530,000 average when comparing both areas. With interest rates doubling the past 1.5 years and buyers considering a condo unit under the umbrella of a condo association, shoppers will be very particular about their monthly dues assessment and what’s included for those monies as both interest rates and dues have such a dominant effect on their overall buying power. Condos continue to be a necessary niche in our marketplace!

Check out area-by-area details the full condo report.

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WATERFRONT

There were 17 privately-owned waterfront home sales in the greater Seattle-Eastside region in Q1 2023 (Eastside-7; Seattle-6; Lake Sammamish-2; Mercer Island-2). This is exactly on par with last year, when we also saw 17 sales in Q1 2022.

The highest sale was for a Medina Northwest Contemporary on 115 feet of low-bank waterfront that sold above list price for $20m. The most affordable waterfront was a unique triplex with 1920-1930 era beach cottages on a private boardwalk near the Ballard Locks—a buyer snagged it below list price for $1.9m.

This brief overview of the entire Seattle-Eastside private waterfront market, including Mercer Island and Lake Sammamish, illustrates the trends occurring in our region over time. This data is interesting and insightful but cannot replace an in-depth waterfront analysis with your trusted professional.

↑ Back to top

© Copyright 2023, Windermere Real Estate/Mercer Island. Information and statistics derived from Northwest Multiple Listing Service and Trendgraphix, and deemed accurate but not guaranteed. Mercer Island cover photo courtesy of Petra Varney and Clarity Northwest Photography.